Updated Oscar Predicitons for September

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The Venice, Telluride and Toronto film festivals have concluded and the New York Film Festival just got underway with a very intense, vertigo inducing final half hour to that fests opening night film, The Walk, from director Robert Zemeckis. Where are we it? A lot of films have premiered and some have stepped forward (Spotlight, Steve Jobs), some landed with a, yeah, it is good but… (The Danish Girl, Our Brand Is Crisis), and others have either stepped back to the threshold or have fallen off the cliff (Freeheld, I Saw the Light). You also have the big films arriving towards the end of the year — The Revenant, Joy, The Hateful Eight, The Big Short — that will most certainly play into the field in some way. As of right now, there are no clear frontrunners. No Birdman. No Boyhood. No 12 Years a Slave.

After having said that, there does seem to be a consensus that even though the big one has not dropped, there are a lot of really solid, high-quality pictures out there. Spotlight seems to be the one film that everyone appreciates and it beckons back to old school, meaningful journalism and a concrete investigative narrative on  film, much like All the Presidents Men (1976). The other big, big winner is the already Cannes-approved Son of Saul, which has received nothing but enormous praise as a brilliant Holocaust picture and one that if it was not Hungarian, would probably be an easy Best Picture nominee. The Academy should man up and get over their inability to fully embrace foreign films. The Academy Awards are not just the English-language awards. Beasts of No Nation, Truth, Carol (Cannes first), Steve Jobs, The Danish Girl, The Martian (yes, Ridley Scott is alive, apparently), Youth (Cannes first), Room and The Walk, have all received high praises and have solid shots and knocking down a Best Picture nod.

The award season is in motion and we are right at the halfway point of season. What is in store is excitement and suspense knowing of what lies ahead. An amazing December slate of films that could, and will, most likely alter the race as of where it is right now. To be honest, I hope Iñárritu keeps The Revenant on lock down right up until the premiere and leaves everyone waiting with immense anticipation. I still cannot get over how amazing that trailer is!!! Also, the Youth buzz out of Cannes as stalled it appears so, or at least it has since the film does not get released until early December. It is just very quiet right now for that film which looks absolutely amazing!

Here are my September predictions and even though we have somewhat of an idea of where things are headed, there is still so much unknown. Excitement awaits, especially for all of us with all the seen and unseen films ahead of us!!! I have not seen anything so I am thrilled. Enjoy and here are my way too early picks from July!!!

BEST PICTURE

  1. The Revenant
  2. Spotlight
  3. Joy
  4. Carol
  5. Steve Jobs
  6. Brooklyn
  7. The Danish Girl
  8. Room
  9. Youth
  10. Bridge of Spies
  • Other Possibilities:   The Hateful EightThe Martian; Inside OutSuffragette; Love & Mercy; Truth; Son of Saul; Mad Max: Fury Road; Sicario; Straight Outta Compton; The Big Short; Black Mass; Beasts of No Nation; The Walk

BEST DIRECTOR

  1. Alejandro G. Iñárritu (The Revenant)
  2. Thomas McCarthy (Spotlight)
  3. Todd Haynes (Carol)
  4. Danny Boyle (Steve Jobs)
  5. David O. Russell (Joy)
  • Other Possibilities:  Steven Spielberg (Bridge of Spies); Paolo Sorrentino (Youth); John Crowley (Brooklyn); Pete Docter (Inside Out); Quentin Tarantino (The Hateful Eight); Cary Fukunaga (Beasts of No Nation); Lenny Abrahamson (Room); Ridley Scott (The Martian)

BEST ACTOR

  1. Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
  2. Johnny Depp (Black Mass)
  3. Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
  4. Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
  5. Michael Caine (Youth)
  • Other Possibilities:  Bryan Cranston (Trumbo); John Cusack (Love & Mercy); Tom Hanks (Bridge of Spies); Christian Bale (The Big Short); Steve Carell (the Big Short); Tom Hiddleston (I Saw The Light); Matt Damon (The Martian); Ian McKellen (Mr. Holmes); Abraham Attah (Beasts of No Nation)

BEST ACTRESS

  1. Cate Blanchett (Carol or Truth)
  2. Brie Larson (Room)
  3. Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
  4. Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
  5. Charlotte Rampling (45 Years)
  • Other Possibilities:  Lily Tomlin (Grandma); Sandra Bullock (Our Brand Is Crisis); Carey Mulligan (Suffragette); Charlize Theron (Mad Max: Fury Road); Emily Blunt (Sicario);  Amy Schumer (Trainwreck); Julianne Moore (Freeheld)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  1. Michael Keaton (Spotlight)
  2. Tom Hardy (The Revenant)
  3. Harvey Keitel (Youth)
  4. Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation)
  5. Paul Dano (Love & Mercy)
  • Other Possibilities:  Benicio del Toro (Sicario); Joel Edgerton (Black Mass); Samuel L. Jackson (The Hateful Eight); Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight); Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies); Robert Redford (Truth); Jacob Tremblay (Room); Jason Segel (The End of the Tour); Kurt Russell (The Hateful Eight); Robert DeNiro (Joy); Bradley Cooper (Joy);  Seth Rogen (Steve Jobs)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  1. Rooney Mara (Carol)
  2. Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
  3. Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
  4. Jane Fonda (Youth)
  5. Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
  • Other Possibilities:  Elizabeth Banks (Love & Mercy); Joan Allen (Room); Kristen Stewart (Clouds of Sils Maria); Marion Cotillard (Macbeth); Meryl Streep (Suffragette); Julie Walters (Brooklyn); Rachel Weisz (Youth); Jessica Chastain (The Martian); Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)

Photo credits by Indiewire.

 

 

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