Updated Oscar Predictions for November

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It looks as if Ridley Scott’s hugely successful The Martian is on course to receive multiple Oscar nominations, including ones for Best Picture and Best Director. I do not know if I agree with this lauded attitude for what is quite a good film, but nothing I thought that was going to get this much EARLY Oscar attention. The buzz might fizzle, I do not think it will any of the big awards, but this seems like an easy lock and the film that, along with Lenny Abrahamson’s Room, is garnering a tremendous amount of buzz.

The early question is could these two films be battling it out for Best Picture? There are many films to be seen, The Revenant (my most anticipated film of the year), Joy, and The Hateful Eight, to name the most enticing. I think the real star right now is, and it has been since it premiered at Venice, Tom McCarthy’s Spotlight and that outstanding cast it has. I am really exciting to see this film, hopefully this Sunday, and is one that seems to be respected and could be run away with whole thing come February 28th.

The acting categories are stacked, as to be expected, with each category containing a lot of solid talent. Many questions, all around, are still out there. Can The Martian and/or Room win it all? Which film will Cate Blanchett be nominated for? Will Youth garner three acting nominations and/or a best picture nomination? Will Truth receive any attention other than a possible nomination for Blanchett? Does Quentin Tarantino’s recent protests affect the awards possibilities of The Hateful Eight? And, how goddamn good are The Revenant and Joy going to be?

A lot of questions and we are still a few months away from the nominations, but little tiny pieces are beginning to fall into place…

BEST PICTURE

  1. The Revenant
  2. Spotlight
  3. Joy
  4. The Martian
  5. Room
  6. Carol
  7. Steve Jobs
  8. Brooklyn
  9. Bridge of Spies
  • Other Possibilities:   The Hateful EightYouth; The Danish Girl; Inside OutSuffragette; Love & Mercy; Son of Saul; Mad Max: Fury Road; Sicario; Straight Outta Compton; The Big Short; Creed; Black Mass; Beasts of No Nation 

BEST DIRECTOR

  1. Alejandro G. Iñárritu (The Revenant)
  2. Thomas McCarthy (Spotlight)
  3. David O. Russell (Joy)
  4. Ridley Scott (The Martian)
  5. Todd Haynes (Carol)
  • Other Possibilities:  Lenny Abrahamson (Room); Danny Boyle (Steve Jobs); Steven Spielberg (Bridge of Spies); Lazlo Nemes (Son of Saul);Paolo Sorrentino (Youth); John Crowley (Brooklyn); Pete Docter (Inside Out); Quentin Tarantino (The Hateful Eight); Cary Fukunaga (Beasts of No Nation)

BEST ACTOR

  1. Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
  2. Johnny Depp (Black Mass)
  3. Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
  4. Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)???
  5. Michael Caine (Youth)?????
  • Other Possibilities:  Bryan Cranston (Trumbo); John Cusack (Love & Mercy); Tom Hanks (Bridge of Spies);  Steve Carell (The Big Short); Matt Damon (The Martian); Ian McKellen (Mr. Holmes); Abraham Attah (Beasts of No Nation)

BEST ACTRESS

  1. Brie Larson (Room)
  2. Cate Blanchett (Carol or Truth)
  3. Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
  4. Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
  5. Charlotte Rampling (45 Years)
  • Other Possibilities:  Lily Tomlin (Grandma); Sandra Bullock (Our Brand Is Crisis); Carey Mulligan (Suffragette); Charlize Theron (Mad Max: Fury Road); Emily Blunt (Sicario);  Amy Schumer (Trainwreck)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  1. Michael Keaton (Spotlight)
  2. Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
  3. Paul Dano (Love & Mercy)
  4. Tom Hardy (The Revenant)
  5. Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation)
  • Other Possibilities:  Benicio del Toro (Sicario); Harvey Keitel (Youth); Joel Edgerton (Black Mass); Samuel L. Jackson (The Hateful Eight); Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight); Robert Redford (Truth); Jacob Tremblay (Room); Christian Bale (The Big Short); Jason Segel (The End of the Tour); Kurt Russell (The Hateful Eight); Robert DeNiro (Joy); Bradley Cooper (Joy);  Seth Rogen (Steve Jobs)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  1. Rooney Mara (Carol)
  2. Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
  3. Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
  4. Jane Fonda (Youth)
  5. Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
  • Other Possibilities:  Elizabeth Banks (Love & Mercy); Joan Allen (Room); Kristen Stewart (Clouds of Sils Maria); Marion Cotillard (Macbeth); Meryl Streep (Suffragette); Julie Walters (Brooklyn); Rachel Weisz (Youth); Jessica Chastain (The Martian); Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)

Photo credits by Indiewire.

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