SAG Preview and Predictions

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Tomorrow morning, the Screen Actors Guild Awards nominations will be announced. SAG honors achievement in both film and television, and this will give a tell of where the industry is leaning. The guild, composed of over 160,000 members, will vote for the top performances of the year. This is only for the actors. The film side contains five categories: Best Ensemble, Best Male Actor, Best Female Actor, Best Male Supporting Actor and Best Female Supporting Actor. Last year, all five films nominated for Best Ensemble received Best Picture nominations at the Oscars. The five were Birdman (winner), Boyhood, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Imitation Game and The Theory of Everything. Could that happen this year?

The question that goes along with that question is whether or not the Guild received screeners for all of the films, especially the late arrivals:  The Revenant, Joy and The Hateful Eight. I am going to assume, I know you should never do that but for these I will cheat a bit although I have read they did not receive screeners for The Hateful Eight, that they have seen everything and base my predictions off the full slate. Shit, they may not have seen Star Wars: The Force Awakens, but I do not think that was getting in anyways so forget it. The locks appear to be Spotlight (the favorite), The Martian and, most likely, Carol. The films are beloved and have solid, outstanding ensembles. They have also received numerous critical praise during this early point in the awards season. The next two spots become trickier.

The big possibilities are as follows:  The Revenant, The Hateful Eight, Joy, Steve Jobs, Creed, The Big Short, Room, Brooklyn, Youth, Sicario, Love & Mercy, Straight Outta Compton, Suffragette and Black Mass. I wanted to put Mad Max: Fury Road in there but I do not think it as a big enough ensemble and it really is all about the overall production and mainly Miller. Whether these films were critics favorites or not, these all have exceptional ensembles and all have a shot. Joy seems like a safe bet, especially with the wonderful David O. Russell, who is a true actors director at the helm. You could say the same for Tarantino and the The Hateful Eight, with his well-respected cast running amok with QT’s specific dialogue and his love for actors. The Revenant — was it too violent and bleak for them. The Big Short — look at those four big name actors and the film is receiving positive notices. You could say the same for Steve Jobs, Love & Mercy, Youth and Brooklyn. Who knows, but we will find out tomorrow morning. Here are my picks for all five film categories. If I am right, which I probably will not be, I beginning to think that Steve Jobs is not getting a Best Picture nomination. That supporting male actor category is stacked and was the hardest to narrow down to five. Enjoy and share your thoughts and opinions.

 

BEST ENSEMBLE CAST

  1. SPOTLIGHT
  2. THE MARTIAN
  3. CAROL
  4. STEVE JOBS
  5. JOY

next two —  BROOKLYN, THE REVENANT

BEST MALE ACTOR

  1. LEONARDO DICAPRIO (THE REVENANT)
  2. MICHAEL FASSBENDER (STEVE JOBS)
  3. JOHNNY DEPP (BLACK MASS)
  4. MATT DAMON (THE MARTIAN)
  5. EDDIE REDMAYNE (THE DANISH GIRL)

next two — MICHAEL B. JORDAN (CREED), MICHAEL CAINE (YOUTH)

BEST FEMALE ACTOR

  1. BRIE LARSON (ROOM)
  2. SAOIRSE RONAN (BROOKLYN)
  3. CATE BLANCHETT (CAROL)
  4. JENNIFER LAWRENCE (JOY)
  5. CHARLOTTE RAMPLING (45 YEARS)

next two —  CAREY MULLIGAN (SUFFRAGETTE), CHARLIZE THERON (MAD MAX: FURY ROAD)

BEST SUPPORTING MALE ACTOR

  1. MICHAEL KEATON (SPOTLIGHT)
  2. MARK RUFFALO (SPOTLIGHT)
  3. MARK RYLANCE (BRIDGE OF SPIES)
  4. SYLVESTER STALLONE (CREED)
  5. PAUL DANO (LOVE & MERCY)

next two —  IDRIS ELBA (BEASTS OF NO NATION), BENICIO DEL TORO (SICARIO)

BEST SUPPORTING FEMALE ACTOR

  1. ROONEY MARA (CAROL)
  2. ALICIA VIKANDER (THE DANISH GIRL)
  3. KATE WINSLET (STEVE JOBS)
  4. JANE FONDA (YOUTH)
  5. ELIZABETH BANKS (LOVE & MERCY)

next two —  KRISTEN STEWART (CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA), JOAN ALLEN (ROOM)

 

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