I know that it is just the Globes. I know that it is a star-studded, vote for the hot, trendy thing right now, well, at least on the television side. It is a big party and the 90 voting members of the HFPA do not connect with what is going to happen with the Academy and the Guilds, but damn did one film come out looking really, really good last night…The Revenant. The film won Best Actor – Drama for Leonardo DiCaprio, Best Director for master auteur Alejandro G. Iñárritu, and it took home the big award, Best Picture – Drama. The Martian also looked pretty good winning Best Picture – Musical/Comedy ??? (we know) and Best Actor – Musical/Comedy Matt Damon.
It was not such a good night for critical darlings Spotlight, Carol and The Big Short, as all three films went home empty-handed. This does not tell the doom for these three when it comes to the Oscars, but I have been getting the sense that the Spotlight buzz has been dissipating a bit, somewhat like the critically beloved Boyhood did last year. The Academy and industry pulling their muscle and separating themselves from the Critics. Jennifer Lawrence won Best Actress – Musical/Comedy for her great work in David O. Russell’s Joy (that is three wins for her work with Russell at the Globes) and Brie Larson won Best Actress – Drama for her work in Room. I think Larson is still the frontrunner going in to the Oscars. And how about the left for dead Steve Jobs. Danny Boyle’s film won Best Supporting Actress for Kate Winslet (great work by her once again) and Best Screenplay for Aaron Sorkin. The film still has a chance at getting an Oscar nomination as it apparently has a lot of love from the Academy and it is a truly fantastic piece of work. It might still squeak in.
The Globes are in no way a barometer of what will happen at the Oscars. Last year, Boyhood won Best Picture – Drama, and The Grand Budapest Hotel won Best Picture – Musical/Comedy. Birdman won Best Picture at the Academy Awards and swept the Guilds. Also last year, Best Director went to Richard Linklater for Boyhood, but the DGA and Oscars went for Alejandro G. Iñárritu for Birdman. Having said that, in 2014, 12 Years a Slave won Best Picture – Drama (American Hustle Musical/Comedy) and Alfonso Cuarón won Best Director for Gravity, and both went on to win at the Oscars, so it is possible that if the Guilds give a huge amount of support and wins to The Revenant, that it could win again at the Academy Awards. It would not shock me. I just saw the film this afternoon and it pretty much floored me!
Academy Award nominations will be announced this Thursday, January 14th and I will be posting my final predictions this Wednesday. Also, the DGA will announce their five directing nominations in film on January 12th, but their voting lasted longer than the Academy Awards did, so expect, as usual, one or two discrepancies between the two. This year is still wide open and who knows what will happen. The only locks that I see for now are DiCaprio for Best Actor and most likely Larson for Best Actress. Everything else is almost unpredictable, as is predicting each category. Fun times and much more ahead!!! A great year in film!!!!